Bharti Airtel Capex to Level Up by FY27, Says JP Morgan

Bharti Airtel Capex to Level Up by FY27, Says JP Morgan

Summary:
Bharti Airtel is planning to significantly ramp up capital expenditure (Capex) in home broadband, data centers, and 5G potentially triggering a new capex cycle from fiscal 2027 a shift highlighted by JP Morgan in its latest India telecom analysis. 

Bharti Airtel’s renewed push into broadband, data centers and 5G infrastructure is expected to drive up capex sharply from FY27, according to JP Morgan. After a period of moderating capital expenditure over the past eight quarters, this strategic pivot-including plans for a 1 GW data-center build-out could pressure free cash flow (FCF) but also position Airtel for future growth. 

A key part of Airtel’s renewed investment drive is an aggressive expansion in its home-broadband business. In Q2 FY26, Airtel added nearly one million home broadband connections and 2.5 million home-pass connections. The company is targeting both fiber-to-the-home (FTTH) and fixed wireless access (FWA), hoping to close the gap with rivals in the broadband space. 

On the data-center front, Airtel via its subsidiary (or business vertical) is working to quadruple capacity over the coming years. This expansion reflects growing demand for cloud services, enterprise data hosting, and future-ready 5G/AI workloads. 

However, the expansion isn’t without risks. JP Morgan warns that rising broadband, data center, and 5G capex could weigh free cash flow, especially if broadband growth and 5G capacity constraints intensify. There have already been signs of pressure. Airtel’s capex rose in Q4 FY25, which moderated its free cash flow. 

From a strategic perspective, this move positions Airtel to benefit from accelerating demand-both residential (home-broadband, fixed wireless) and enterprise (data centers, cloud services, 5G). As consumption of data, video, and digital services grows in India, Airtel’s infrastructure investments could pay off handsomely. At the same time, investors and analysts will watch closely whether the capex surge stays disciplined and whether Airtel can convert these investments into strong returns as promised. 

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